Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 381.273335 433.747898 492.387629 563.063508 646.317382 741.733492 860.028014
2025-08-17 310.589922 380.747997 466.626475 580.697524 730.071274 921.595572 1189.971259
2025-08-24 265.496919 341.494981 440.215883 580.174901 777.332323 1051.139536 1471.088244
2025-08-31 231.285501 308.670263 413.929266 571.046506 805.814294 1154.096055 1730.892032
2025-09-07 209.084280 288.028301 399.778345 574.325757 849.289552 1282.578412 2053.697153
2025-09-14 187.254256 264.733847 378.075676 561.947964 864.882388 1367.790316 2321.545163
2025-09-21 171.562245 248.370821 364.181280 558.809814 893.332458 1477.168056 2655.545919
2025-09-28 153.503712 226.432397 339.067314 533.802326 880.225226 1510.288066 2850.272218
2025-10-05 147.191044 221.965165 340.781780 553.287338 947.395364 1701.413534 3413.528007
2025-10-12 142.643538 219.737855 345.669905 578.521002 1028.613745 1934.936276 4136.792823
2025-10-19 134.641970 211.040490 338.687902 581.293502 1066.769146 2087.736082 4717.769585
2025-10-26 124.479353 197.830466 322.625414 565.139778 1064.342364 2152.526453 5097.209997
2025-11-02 115.772589 186.582935 309.286900 553.211862 1070.154345 2239.944687 5575.005482
2025-11-09 112.112638 183.816014 310.915422 570.819735 1142.175406 2498.212513 6635.467019
2025-11-16 106.341282 176.801116 304.023922 570.292121 1173.713214 2664.476911 7485.535616
2025-11-23 100.056350 168.364419 293.689599 561.351004 1184.377552 2779.537484 8217.767410
2025-11-30 95.795565 163.308481 289.346454 564.563271 1224.386972 2982.535006 9347.357211
2025-12-07 90.160768 155.282948 278.534015 552.437793 1224.812751 3075.154299 10113.032923
2025-12-14 85.970312 149.700240 272.107459 549.363435 1247.742136 3239.259271 11245.666093
2025-12-21 79.902095 140.134531 256.945856 524.861694 1211.337379 3216.034537 11584.202066
2025-12-28 78.605778 139.728918 260.441533 543.953045 1294.462386 3589.103081 13901.712121
2026-01-04 77.849418 140.317143 266.027028 568.672749 1397.836914 4060.509779 17036.031851
2026-01-11 75.157473 136.849624 262.728390 571.388500 1439.039454 4330.917652 19336.222929